We had a two day meeting in Brussels on the 21st and 22nd over the COST Action 16227
which was recently approved by the EU COST association.
The meeting had a first day covering management issues, and a second day dedicated to a scientific meeting.
For the first time we officially presented our simulation engine as a tool to perform complex large scale simulations:
Large scale epidemic spread made simple: simulating complex individual based epidemic models.
The presentation included one movie of our simulations of dengue geographic spread.
When: Thursday 18 May 2017, 2pm-5.30pm
Where: Lancaster University, Infolab C60b/c
What: This workshop will focus on how to model and implement simulations of infectious disease dynamics.
The session will include a tutorial and a hands-on practical period.
The tutorial will introduce the basic concepts of the modelling, implementation of infectious diseases models,
and also cover more advanced topics such as dynamics within age-structured and spatially-structured populations.
The practical will be hands-on implementation of the basic algorithms used in simulations.
Please you bring your own laptop equipped with R or RStudio with a fully charged battery!
If you do not use R, send me an email for further options.
Further details here.
To register a place, please send an email to a.parisi@lancaster.ac.uk
The follow-up work to our 2015 publication is now available
Periodicity, synchronization and persistence in pre-vaccination measles
Ramona Marguta and Andrea Parisi
J. R. Soc. Interface, 13, 20160258 (2016)
doi: 10.1098/rsif.2016.0258
[Abstract]
A sudden paternity did not permit participation to the DSABNS2016 conference.
Since the talk was about estimating the European human geographical distribution during the Middle Ages for simulations of disease spread,
here is a provisional map showing the population distribution in Europe in 1300 AD. The estimate still needs various refinements though.
The latest version of our simulation model has managed to visualize disease spread on the whole
world population of over 7 billion individuals!
While we wait for fine tuning of simulations for influenza,
here is a snapshot of a trial test obtained for an SIR parametrized for measles.
At last, after two years of hard work, our paper on measles dynamics is now published:
Impact of human mobility on the periodicities and mechanisms underlying measles dynamics
Ramona Marguta and Andrea Parisi
J. R. Soc. Interface, 12, 20141317 (2015)
doi: 10.1098/rsif.2014.1317
[Article explained]
Here is a movie showing one of our simulations:
What is our paper about? Check it here on:
Article explained: Impact of human mobility on the periodicities and mechanisms underlying measles dynamics
Ramona has presented our work in this year's DSABNS conference:
R. Marguta, A. Parisi, Human mobility and measles
Double appointment in Lucca with the ECCS14 conference
and the Contagion '14 satellite conference:
The first: A. Parisi, R. Marguta,
Influence of mobility on the dynamics of infectious diseases in large geographical areas
and the second: A. Parisi, R. Marguta,
Investigating the influence of human mobility on local and global dynamics
And this is where many of the talks were held: an old (deconsecrated) church!
Our results presented in Turin in the annual MPDE meeting:
A. Parisi, Human mobility and the regional spread of infectious diseases
Ramona presented our current ongoing work in Almeria at the annual
CMMSE meeting.
We have a new publication in the Proceedings of the conference:
R. Marguta, A. Parisi, Human mobility and measles
Our work has been presented on a plenary talk in this year's DSABNS annual meeting.
Here is the abstract of the talk: A. Parisi,
Human mobility and its influence on the dynamics of infectious diseases
Ramona presented our preliminary results on the spread of measles in the British Isles at the
ECCS conference in Barcelona:
Stochastic amplification and propagation of childhood diseases in large geographical areas
Two presentations at the MPDE'13 conference:
The first: R. Marguta, A. Parisi, Spread of infectious diseases in large geographical areas.
and the second: A. Parisi et al., Heterogeneity in antibody range and the antigenic drift of influenza A viruses
First proceedings related to our work on measles dynamics at the CMMSE 2013 conference:
Stochastic amplification and childhood diseases in large geographical areas